What are the chances we presently have of carrying a cardiovascular disease at some point in our lives?

Original title: Lifetime Risk and Years Lived Free of Total Cardiovascular Disease Reference: John T. Wilkins et al. JAMA. 2012; 308(17):1795-1801.

This study analyzed more than 120,000 patients in the cohorts of large community studies, such as the Framingham, who did not have cardiovascular disease at the time of inclusion 

Considering all the age subgroups, only between 1.7% and 7.9% were within the optimal range of risk factors, (BP <120/80 mmHg, total cholesterol

In contrast, more than 55% of the population had one or two risk factors analyzed whatever their age. With this data it was possible to calculate, for example, that a 45 year-old man with no history has a 60.3% risk of contracting a cardiovascular disease at some point in his life.

For a woman of the same age the risk factor is 55.6%. In a middle age, a person with optimal risk control factors has an estimated 14 more years of free cardiovascular disease than someone of the same age with 2 risk factors. However, despite the likelihood of optimal control of risk, the odds of contracting an illness are still above 30%.

Editorial Comment: 

This study shows the enormous prevalence of cardiovascular disease and that this will continue to rise beyond the level that medical treatment can manage. Dealing with this huge number of patients is not only going to be a challenge for us in the catheterization laboratory but also an enormous public health problem.

SOLACI.ORG

More articles by this author

ACC 2026 | ALL-RISE Trial: Coronary Physiological Assessment Using FFRangio

Coronary physiological assessment using pressure-wire techniques (FFR/iFR) carries a Class IA recommendation in ACC/AHA guidelines; however, its use remains limited due to factors such...

ACC 2026 | PRO-TAVI Trial: Deferring Coronary Angioplasty in Patients Undergoing TAVI

Coronary artery disease is common in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVI. Current guidelines recommend considering revascularization in significant coronary lesions, particularly in...

ACC 2026 | CHIP-BCIS3: Impella use as support in high-risk complex PCI

The use of percutaneous ventricular support during high-risk complex PCI has been proposed as a strategy to prevent hemodynamic deterioration in patients with severe...

ACC 2026 | ORBITA-CTO: PCI in chronic total occlusions and stable angina — the randomized trial we were missing?

Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for chronic total occlusions (CTO) remains a topic of ongoing debate in stable angina, with persistent uncertainty regarding its role...

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Related Articles

SOLACI Sessionsspot_img

Recent Articles

ACC 2026 | ALL-RISE Trial: Coronary Physiological Assessment Using FFRangio

Coronary physiological assessment using pressure-wire techniques (FFR/iFR) carries a Class IA recommendation in ACC/AHA guidelines; however, its use remains limited due to factors such...

ACC 2026 | Protect The Head-To-Head Trial: Randomized Comparison Between Emboliner and Sentinel During TAVI

Ischemic stroke remains one of the most feared complications of TAVI, with a relatively low but persistent incidence of 2–4%, without significant reduction over...

ACC 2026 | PRO-TAVI Trial: Deferring Coronary Angioplasty in Patients Undergoing TAVI

Coronary artery disease is common in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVI. Current guidelines recommend considering revascularization in significant coronary lesions, particularly in...